GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 4/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mushuc Runa SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Mushuc Runa SC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Manta FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Mushuc Runa SC hold a 13.1-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 35.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.1% in the Liga Pro, while Mushuc Runa SC holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mushuc Runa SC

Probability

50.0%

Model confidence

18.1%

Mushuc Runa SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mushuc Runa SCDWLDL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Manta FCLLLWD

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
Mushuc Runa SCManta FC
44.4Attack15.3
52.8Defence58.3
43.1Form23.6
48.5Power35.4
1.24xG0.62
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