Mushuc Runa SCvs
Macara
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 3/15/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Macara · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Mushuc Runa SC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Macara are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Macara hold an 8.5-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 57.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.7% in the Liga Pro, while Macara holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Macara
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
14.7%
Macara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60