Liga ProLiga Pro
Monday, 27 July 2026Last updated 10:09
Mushuc Runa SC

Mushuc Runa SC

Home
LW
02
Full time
Libertad

Libertad

Away
W
Estadio Bellavista
GoalVio prediction
44% confidence
Mushuc Runa SC(44%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Win probability
Mushuc Runa SC
44%
Draw
26%
Libertad
30%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Mushuc Runa SC
73
Libertad
34
Defence
Mushuc Runa SC
27
Libertad
91
Momentum
Mushuc Runa SC
50
Libertad
100
Danger (xG)
Mushuc Runa SC
1.80
Libertad
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Mushuc Runa SC)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Libertad)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Mushuc Runa SC)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Libertad)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Mushuc Runa SCMushuc Runa SC
LWL
LibertadLibertad
WL

Probability breakdown

44% confidence
Mushuc Runa SC44%
Draw26%
Libertad30%

Mushuc Runa SC leads with 44% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Share this

Analysis

Match insights

Mushuc Runa SC head into this in Liga Pro fixture at Estadio Bellavista in mixed form (LW), while Libertad arrive in mixed form (W). Mushuc Runa SC have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 100% for Libertad over 1 games.

The model rates Mushuc Runa SC's attack at 73/100 against a 91/100 Libertad defence, and Libertad's attack at 34/100 against a 27/100 Mushuc Runa SC backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Mushuc Runa SC have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per home match. Libertad have limited away data in the engine at this stage.

There is no head-to-head data between Mushuc Runa SC and Libertad in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Mushuc Runa SC to win with 44% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Mushuc Runa SC 4379%, Draw 2643%, Libertad 2978%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Mushuc Runa SC

Mushuc Runa SC

L
@ Macara
14 Jul 2026
12
W
@ Universidad Catolica
6 Jul 2026
32
L
vs LDU de Quito
12 May 2026
13
Libertad

Libertad

W
vs Tecnico Universitario
15 Jul 2026
10
L
vs Deportivo Cuenca
16 May 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Mushuc Runa SC vs Libertad?

GoalVio's model predicts Mushuc Runa SC to win with 44% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Mushuc Runa SC vs Libertad?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Mushuc Runa SC vs Libertad?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Mushuc Runa SC vs Libertad?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

Explore more predictions

About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
View full accuracy stats →
Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more