Mushuc Runa SCvs
Leones del Norte
COMPLETEDEcuador · Liga Pro · 9/8/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Mushuc Runa SC 0-0 Leones del Norte, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Mushuc Runa SC 1-1 Leones del Norte
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.04 | 44.7% | 37.1% | -7.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 29.6% | 32.0% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 3.55 | 25.7% | 30.9% | 5.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.08 · Draw 2.08 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Projected Score
Mushuc Runa SC 0–0 Leones del Norte
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.0%
Model confidence
37.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Mushuc Runa SCDWDDW
GF 4 · GA 0 · avg 0.80/0.00
BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Leones del NorteWLLWL
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Mushuc Runa SCLeones del Norte
39.3Attack34.5
59.5Defence67.9
44.0Form48.8
49.5Power52.1
0.80xG0.77