GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 8/20/2025, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mushuc Runa SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Mushuc Runa SC are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Independiente del Valle are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Mushuc Runa SC hold a 37.3-point power-rating edge (73.8 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Mushuc Runa SC holds the strongest overall chance at 61% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mushuc Runa SC

Probability

61.1%

Model confidence

61.1%

Mushuc Runa SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mushuc Runa SCWLLLL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Independiente del ValleWWDWW

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Mushuc Runa SCIndependiente del Valle
59.3Attack0.0
74.1Defence83.3
81.5Form16.7
73.8Power36.5
1.68xG0.55
View match centre →