GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 3/5/2023, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mushuc Runa SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Mushuc Runa SC are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (LDLL), averaging 1.25 scored and 2.25 conceded, while Gualaceo SC are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (WDL), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Mushuc Runa SC hold a 13.0-point power-rating edge (48.4 v 35.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.2% in the Liga Pro, while Mushuc Runa SC holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Mushuc Runa SC

Probability

57.2%

Model confidence

57.2%

Mushuc Runa SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mushuc Runa SCLDLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.25/2.25

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
Gualaceo SCWDL

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 1.33/1.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
Mushuc Runa SCGualaceo SC
42.7Attack28.9
54.7Defence41.1
42.7Form27.8
48.4Power35.5
1.67xG0.69
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