GGOALVIO

Ecuador · Liga Pro · 8/28/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Mushuc Runa SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Mushuc Runa SC 0-0 Delfin SC, with an exact score probability of 22%.

Prediction record

Final result

Mushuc Runa SC 1-0 Delfin SC

Original prediction

Mushuc Runa SC

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5558.9%49.4%-9.5 pts
Draw3.6724.9%29.9%5.0 pts
Away5.6616.2%20.7%4.5 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.55 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-9.5 pts

Projected Score

Mushuc Runa SC 0–0 Delfin SC

Exact score probability: 22%

Predicted outcome

Mushuc Runa SC

Probability

49.4%

Model confidence

49.4%

Mushuc Runa SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mushuc Runa SCDDWWL

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Delfin SCLWLDL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Mushuc Runa SCDelfin SC
41.0Attack21.8
56.4Defence64.1
42.3Form30.8
48.4Power41.6
0.97xG0.58
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