GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/8/2025, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Mushuc Runa SC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Cruzeiro are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Mushuc Runa SC hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (73.8 v 60.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.2% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.2%

Model confidence

41.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mushuc Runa SCWLWLW

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
CruzeiroWWWLL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Mushuc Runa SCCruzeiro
59.3Attack41.0
74.1Defence74.4
81.5Form59.0
73.8Power60.0
0.99xG0.60
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