Musanzevs
Gasogi United
COMPLETEDRwanda · National Soccer League · 10/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Musanze · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Musanze 0-0 Gasogi United, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Musanze 0-1 Gasogi United
Original prediction
Musanze
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 19:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.26 | 39.4% | 41.1% | 1.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.83 | 31.4% | 31.0% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.05 | 29.2% | 27.9% | -1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Projected Score
Musanze 0–0 Gasogi United
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Musanze
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Musanze has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MusanzeLWLDW
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Gasogi UnitedLLLLD
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MusanzeGasogi United
16.7Attack0.0
83.3Defence33.3
50.0Form0.0
53.0Power15.3
1.16xG0.71