Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Honka · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-4
Musa are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Honka are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 3.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Honka hold a 57.3-point power-rating edge (20.9 v 78.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the Kakkonen - Lohko B, while Honka holds the strongest overall chance at 92% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Honka
Probability
91.8%
Model confidence
14.2%
Honka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 16 · avg 2.20/3.20
GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20