GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 2 · 9/13/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Murom · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Murom 1-0 Torpedo Vladimir, with an exact score probability of 19%.

Prediction record

Final result

Murom 4-0 Torpedo Vladimir

Original prediction

Murom

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9547.0%53.2%6.2 pts
Draw3.2028.6%27.7%-1.0 pts
Away3.7624.4%19.1%-5.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.95 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

6.2 pts

Projected Score

Murom 1–0 Torpedo Vladimir

Exact score probability: 19%

Predicted outcome

Murom

Probability

53.2%

Model confidence

53.2%

Murom has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MuromWWWLD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Torpedo VladimirLWDWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MuromTorpedo Vladimir
53.3Attack38.6
71.7Defence64.9
68.3Form50.9
64.6Power54.2
1.24xG0.58
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