Muromvs
Spartak Moscow 2
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 2 · 10/25/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Murom · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Murom 2-0 Spartak Moscow 2, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Murom 3-1 Spartak Moscow 2
Original prediction
Murom
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.27 | 71.2% | 64.4% | -6.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.73 | 19.0% | 21.6% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 9.20 | 9.8% | 14.0% | 4.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.27 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.7 pts
Projected Score
Murom 2–0 Spartak Moscow 2
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Murom
Probability
64.4%
Model confidence
64.4%
Murom has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MuromDDWWW
GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 1.80/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Spartak Moscow 2DWLDL
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
MuromSpartak Moscow 2
60.0Attack36.0
76.0Defence53.3
72.0Form33.3
68.8Power43.2
1.95xG0.48