Muromvs
Chertanovo Moscow
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 2 · 4/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Murom · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Murom are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Chertanovo Moscow are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Murom hold a 7.8-point power-rating edge (68.5 v 60.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.0% in the Second League - Group 2, while Murom holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Murom
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
15.0%
Murom has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40