Murdoch Melvillevs
Joondalup City
COMPLETEDAustralia · Western Australia State League 1 · 5/20/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Joondalup City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Murdoch Melville are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Joondalup City are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Joondalup City hold a 16.6-point power-rating edge (41.7 v 58.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.3% in the Western Australia State League 1, while Joondalup City holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Joondalup City
Probability
51.4%
Model confidence
8.3%
Joondalup City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40