Western Australia State League 1Western Australia State League 1
Saturday, 25 July 2026Last updated 10:15
Murdoch Melville

Murdoch Melville

Home
W
53
Full time
Gwelup Croatia

Gwelup Croatia

Away
L
Len Shearer Reserve
GoalVio prediction
52% confidence
Murdoch Melville(52%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Win probability
Murdoch Melville
52%
Draw
24%
Gwelup Croatia
23%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Murdoch Melville
94
Gwelup Croatia
34
Defence
Murdoch Melville
27
Gwelup Croatia
0
Momentum
Murdoch Melville
100
Gwelup Croatia
0
Danger (xG)
Murdoch Melville
2.70
Gwelup Croatia
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Murdoch Melville)
2.70
avg per match
xG for (Gwelup Croatia)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Murdoch Melville)
1.80
avg per match
xG against (Gwelup Croatia)
4.50
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Murdoch MelvilleMurdoch Melville
W
Gwelup CroatiaGwelup Croatia
L

Probability breakdown

52% confidence
Murdoch Melville52%
Draw24%
Gwelup Croatia23%

Murdoch Melville leads with 52% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Murdoch Melville head into this in Western Australia State League 1 fixture at Len Shearer Reserve in mixed form (W), while Gwelup Croatia arrive in mixed form (L). Murdoch Melville have a 100% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 0% for Gwelup Croatia over 1 games.

The model rates Murdoch Melville's attack at 94/100 against a 0/100 Gwelup Croatia defence, and Gwelup Croatia's attack at 34/100 against a 27/100 Murdoch Melville backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.

Murdoch Melville have limited home data in the engine at this stage. Gwelup Croatia have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 1 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 5.0 conceded per away game.

There is no head-to-head data between Murdoch Melville and Gwelup Croatia in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Murdoch Melville to win with 52% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Murdoch Melville 5240%, Draw 2440%, Gwelup Croatia 2320%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Recent form

Murdoch Melville

Murdoch Melville

W
@ Curtin University
16 May 2026
32
Gwelup Croatia

Gwelup Croatia

L
@ Subiaco
16 May 2026
15

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Murdoch Melville vs Gwelup Croatia?

GoalVio's model predicts Murdoch Melville to win with 52% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Murdoch Melville vs Gwelup Croatia?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Murdoch Melville vs Gwelup Croatia?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Murdoch Melville vs Gwelup Croatia?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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