Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Murata are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 4.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Domagnano are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 3.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Domagnano hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 43.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the Coppa Titano, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 1 · avg 4.50/0.50
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.50/3.50