Muras Unitedvs
Gagra
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 2/14/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Muras United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Muras United are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Gagra are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Gagra hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 88.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Muras United holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Muras United
Probability
38.5%
Model confidence
11.0%
Muras United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60