Muras Unitedvs
Alay
COMPLETEDKyrgyzstan · Premier League · 4/26/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Muras United · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Muras United are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Alay are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Muras United hold an 11.7-point power-rating edge (70.5 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the Premier League, while Muras United holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Muras United
Probability
58.3%
Model confidence
13.6%
Muras United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20