Muras Unitedvs
Abdish-Ata
COMPLETEDKyrgyzstan · Premier League · 10/27/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Muras United · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Muras United 3-0 Abdish-Ata, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Muras United 1-0 Abdish-Ata
Original prediction
Muras United
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 October 2026 at 08:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.19 | 75.5% | 77.7% | 2.1 pts |
| Draw | 5.55 | 16.2% | 13.9% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 10.90 | 8.3% | 8.5% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.1 pts
Projected Score
Muras United 3–0 Abdish-Ata
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Muras United
Probability
77.7%
Model confidence
77.7%
Muras United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 0 · GA 12 · avg 0.00/2.40