Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mura · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Mura are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Radomlje are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Mura hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 40.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.1% in the 1. SNL, while Mura holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mura
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
15.1%
Mura has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80