Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Mura are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Radomlje are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Mura hold a 2.0-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 40.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.4% in the 1. SNL, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00