Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Koper · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
14%
MediumconfidenceMura are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Koper are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and koper hold a 8.5-point power-rating edge (42.1 v 50.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the 1. SNL, favouring Koper with 14.0% confidence, a 50% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Koper
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
14.0%
Koper has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MuraLLWWL
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
KoperLLWWW
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
MuraKoper
36.1Attack47.2
47.2Defence54.6
37.0Form44.4
42.1Power50.5
1.03xG1.40