Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Beltinci · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Mura are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Beltinci are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Beltinci hold a 14.1-point power-rating edge (43.9 v 58.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Beltinci holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Beltinci
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Beltinci has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00