Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Munkebo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Munkebo are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 3.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Næsby are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Næsby hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 97.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.5% in the DBU Pokalen, while Munkebo holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Munkebo
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
7.5%
Munkebo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/2.00
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20