Municipalvs
Suchitepéquez
COMPLETEDGuatemala · Liga Nacional · 9/25/2026, 2:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Municipal · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-0 (12%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Municipal 3-0 Suchitepéquez
Original prediction
Municipal
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 01:29 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.45 | 62.4% | 55.8% | -6.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 22.8% | 24.3% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 6.11 | 14.8% | 19.9% | 5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Municipal
Probability
55.8%
Model confidence
55.8%
Municipal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00