Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Municipal · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Municipal are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LDL), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Mixco are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 0.33 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Municipal hold an 11.4-point power-rating edge (62.6 v 51.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.8% in the Liga Nacional, while Municipal holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Municipal
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
47.8%
Municipal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.67/1.33
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.33/1.33