GGOALVIO

Guatemala · Liga Nacional · 8/12/2023, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Municipal · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Municipal are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Antigua GFC are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Municipal hold a 2.2-point power-rating edge (62.6 v 60.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.0% in the Liga Nacional, while Municipal holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Municipal

Probability

41.0%

Model confidence

41.0%

Municipal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MunicipalDL

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Antigua GFCWW

GF 4 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 1/2
MunicipalAntigua GFC
56.7Attack46.5
71.7Defence69.3
60.0Form61.4
62.6Power60.4
1.12xG0.72
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