Municipal Tiquipayavs
San Martin de Yacuiba
COMPLETEDBolivia · Nacional B · 10/18/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Municipal Tiquipaya · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Municipal Tiquipaya 3-3 San Martin de Yacuiba
Original prediction
Municipal Tiquipaya
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 17 October 2026 at 11:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 59.8% | 53.4% | -6.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.05 | 22.1% | 22.8% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 4.94 | 18.1% | 23.8% | 5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.05 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Municipal Tiquipaya
Probability
53.4%
Model confidence
53.4%
Municipal Tiquipaya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 6 · avg 2.80/1.20
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60