GGOALVIO

Chile · Segunda División · 5/9/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Municipal Salamanca are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Trasandino are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Municipal Salamanca hold a 9.9-point power-rating edge (62.3 v 52.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 23.7% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.0%

Model confidence

23.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Municipal SalamancaWDDDD

GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
TrasandinoDLWWD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Municipal SalamancaTrasandino
30.6Attack46.7
86.1Defence57.8
61.1Form48.9
62.3Power52.4
0.85xG0.64
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