Municipal Salamancavs
Real San Joaquín
COMPLETEDChile · Segunda División · 6/28/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Municipal Salamanca are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Real San Joaquín are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Municipal Salamanca hold a 17.4-point power-rating edge (62.3 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00