GGOALVIO

Chile · Segunda División · 3/21/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Municipal Salamanca · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Municipal Salamanca are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Provincial Ovalle are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Municipal Salamanca hold a 32.6-point power-rating edge (62.3 v 29.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.8% in the Segunda División, while Municipal Salamanca holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 26% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Municipal Salamanca

Probability

59.8%

Model confidence

59.8%

Municipal Salamanca has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Municipal SalamancaDDWWD

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Provincial OvalleWDLLL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Municipal SalamancaProvincial Ovalle
30.6Attack30.6
86.1Defence33.3
61.1Form16.7
62.3Power29.8
1.45xG0.39
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