Municipal Salamancavs
Provincial Osorno
COMPLETEDChile · Segunda División · 9/6/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Municipal Salamanca 0-0 Provincial Osorno, with an exact score probability of 36%.
Prediction record
Final result
Municipal Salamanca 2-1 Provincial Osorno
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.39 | 37.6% | 30.0% | -7.6 pts |
| Draw | 2.94 | 30.7% | 37.0% | 6.3 pts |
| Away | 2.84 | 31.7% | 33.0% | 1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.3 pts
Projected Score
Municipal Salamanca 0–0 Provincial Osorno
Exact score probability: 36%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00