Municipal Salamancavs
Concón National
SCHEDULEDChile · Segunda División · 8/22/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Municipal Salamanca are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Concón National are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and municipal Salamanca hold a 5.0-point power-rating edge (62.3 v 57.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Segunda División, favouring a draw with 33.2% confidence, a 20% BTTS chance and 11% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
33.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00