GGOALVIO

El-Salvador · Primera Division · 8/28/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Isidro Metapán · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Municipal Limeño 0-1 Isidro Metapán, with an exact score probability of 15%.

Prediction record

Final result

Municipal Limeño 3-1 Isidro Metapán

Original prediction

Isidro Metapán

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.6334.2%26.1%-8.1 pts
Draw2.9430.6%28.1%-2.5 pts
Away2.5635.2%45.8%10.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

10.6 pts

Projected Score

Municipal Limeño 0–1 Isidro Metapán

Exact score probability: 15%

Predicted outcome

Isidro Metapán

Probability

45.8%

Model confidence

45.8%

Isidro Metapán has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Municipal LimeñoWLLDW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Isidro MetapánWLWDW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Municipal LimeñoIsidro Metapán
33.3Attack55.6
55.6Defence77.8
38.9Form72.2
44.8Power69.9
0.76xG1.36
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