Municipal Limeñovs
Águila
COMPLETEDEl-Salvador · Primera Division · 9/10/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Municipal Limeño · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Municipal Limeño 0-0 Águila
Original prediction
Municipal Limeño
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.62 | 34.3% | 46.7% | 12.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.03 | 29.7% | 25.8% | -3.9 pts |
| Away | 2.50 | 36.0% | 27.6% | -8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.03 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Municipal Limeño
Probability
46.7%
Model confidence
46.7%
Municipal Limeño has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00