Municipal Limeñovs
Firpo
COMPLETEDEl-Salvador · Primera Division · 10/11/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Firpo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Municipal Limeño 0-1 Firpo, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Municipal Limeño 2-3 Firpo
Original prediction
Firpo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 18:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.02 | 29.8% | 20.0% | -9.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 28.8% | 25.8% | -3.1 pts |
| Away | 2.17 | 41.4% | 54.2% | 12.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.17 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.8 pts
Projected Score
Municipal Limeño 0–1 Firpo
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Firpo
Probability
54.2%
Model confidence
54.2%
Firpo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Municipal LimeñoLLLLW
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FirpoDWWDW
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Municipal LimeñoFirpo
43.6Attack59.0
56.4Defence76.9
43.6Form64.1
49.3Power66.2
0.67xG1.48