Municipal Limeñovs
FAS
COMPLETEDEl-Salvador · Primera Division · 9/27/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FAS · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (14%), 0-0 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Municipal Limeño 1-3 FAS
Original prediction
FAS
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.84 | 31.5% | 28.9% | -2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.12 | 28.7% | 29.0% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.25 | 39.8% | 42.1% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–114%
- 3.0–014%
Predicted outcome
FAS
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
FAS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Municipal LimeñoLWDWW
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FASWDWWL
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Municipal LimeñoFAS
45.5Attack60.0
63.6Defence70.0
51.5Form66.7
54.8Power65.9
0.85xG1.23