Municipal Limeñovs
Cacahuatique
COMPLETEDEl-Salvador · Primera Division · 10/25/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Municipal Limeño · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Municipal Limeño 3-3 Cacahuatique
Original prediction
Municipal Limeño
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 12:28 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 51.1% | 50.8% | -0.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 26.9% | 26.4% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 4.08 | 22.0% | 22.8% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.34 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–014%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Municipal Limeño
Probability
50.8%
Model confidence
50.8%
Municipal Limeño has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60