GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Primera División · 8/6/2023, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Municipal Liberia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Municipal Liberia are 0W-1D-1L in their last 2 (DL), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.50 conceded, while Perez Zeledon are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Municipal Liberia hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (49.0 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.6% in the Primera División, while Municipal Liberia holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Municipal Liberia

Probability

46.6%

Model confidence

46.6%

Municipal Liberia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Municipal LiberiaDL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/3.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Perez ZeledonLW

GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.50/2.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 1/2
Municipal LiberiaPerez Zeledon
54.5Attack22.2
43.9Defence44.4
44.7Form44.4
49.0Power40.1
1.74xG1.20
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