GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 3/12/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Municipal Grecia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Municipal Grecia are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Turrialba Fc are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Municipal Grecia hold a 21.6-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 22.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.4% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Municipal Grecia holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Municipal Grecia

Probability

75.4%

Model confidence

75.4%

Municipal Grecia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Municipal GreciaLDWLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Turrialba FcLLLLD

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Municipal GreciaTurrialba Fc
58.3Attack28.1
28.1Defence10.4
42.7Form18.8
44.0Power22.4
3.27xG1.05
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