GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Primera División · 8/12/2023, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sporting San Jose · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Municipal Grecia are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Sporting San Jose are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (DWL), averaging 0.67 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sporting San Jose hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (34.2 v 40.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.9% in the Primera División, while Sporting San Jose holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sporting San Jose

Probability

43.9%

Model confidence

43.9%

Sporting San Jose has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Municipal GreciaLLL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/3.00

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
Sporting San JoseDWL

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.67/0.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Municipal GreciaSporting San Jose
28.0Attack33.3
44.7Defence55.6
22.7Form22.2
34.2Power40.2
0.81xG1.29
View match centre →