GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/9/2025, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Municipal Grecia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Municipal Grecia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Santa Cruz FC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Municipal Grecia hold a 37.0-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.7% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Municipal Grecia holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Municipal Grecia

Probability

46.7%

Model confidence

46.7%

Municipal Grecia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Municipal GreciaLDWLW

GF 12 · GA 11 · avg 2.40/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Santa Cruz FCDLDLL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Municipal GreciaSanta Cruz FC
58.3Attack0.0
28.1Defence0.0
42.7Form0.0
44.0Power7.0
2.21xG1.68
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