GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 8/28/2024, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Quepos Cambute · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Municipal Grecia are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Quepos Cambute are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Quepos Cambute hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 57.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.7% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Quepos Cambute holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Quepos Cambute

Probability

45.7%

Model confidence

45.7%

Quepos Cambute has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Municipal GreciaWDLDL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Quepos CambuteWWWDL

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Municipal GreciaQuepos Cambute
58.3Attack66.7
28.1Defence66.7
42.7Form50.0
44.0Power57.3
1.69xG2.16
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