GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 3/8/2025, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Municipal Grecia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Municipal Grecia are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Deportivo Upala are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Municipal Grecia hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 38.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Municipal Grecia holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 86% BTTS chance and 89% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Municipal Grecia

Probability

46.2%

Model confidence

46.2%

Municipal Grecia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Municipal GreciaLWWDW

GF 15 · GA 9 · avg 3.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Deportivo UpalaLDDLL

GF 7 · GA 18 · avg 1.40/3.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Municipal GreciaDeportivo Upala
58.3Attack62.5
28.1Defence22.9
42.7Form31.3
44.0Power38.5
2.96xG2.42
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