GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 3/30/2025, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Sarchí · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Municipal Grecia are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.60 conceded, while AD Sarchí are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Sarchí hold a 36.3-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Sarchí holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Sarchí

Probability

48.9%

Model confidence

48.9%

AD Sarchí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Municipal GreciaLWLLW

GF 11 · GA 18 · avg 2.20/3.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
AD SarchíWLDWD

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Municipal GreciaAD Sarchí
58.3Attack66.7
28.1Defence66.7
42.7Form100.0
44.0Power80.3
1.61xG2.26
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