GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 10/13/2024, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Sarchí · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Municipal Grecia are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while AD Sarchí are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and AD Sarchí hold a 36.3-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Sarchí holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Sarchí

Probability

48.9%

Model confidence

48.9%

AD Sarchí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Municipal GreciaLDDWD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
AD SarchíWWDWL

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Municipal GreciaAD Sarchí
58.3Attack66.7
28.1Defence66.7
42.7Form100.0
44.0Power80.3
1.61xG2.26
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