GGOALVIO

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 9/7/2024, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Municipal Grecia · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Municipal Grecia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while AD Cofutpa are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Municipal Grecia hold a 20.4-point power-rating edge (44.0 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the Liga de Ascenso, while Municipal Grecia holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Municipal Grecia

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

42.6%

Municipal Grecia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Municipal GreciaLLWWD

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
AD CofutpaDDWLD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Municipal GreciaAD Cofutpa
58.3Attack33.3
28.1Defence33.3
42.7Form0.0
44.0Power23.7
2.07xG1.76
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