GGOALVIO

Municipal Grecia logoMunicipal GreciavsAD Carmelita logoAD Carmelita

COMPLETED

Costa-Rica · Liga de Ascenso · 1/21/2025, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AD Carmelita · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Municipal Grecia are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.00 conceded, while AD Carmelita are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 44.0 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Carmelita holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AD Carmelita

Probability

38.5%

Model confidence

38.5%

AD Carmelita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Municipal GreciaWLLLD

GF 6 · GA 15 · avg 1.20/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AD CarmelitaDLDLL

GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Municipal GreciaAD Carmelita
58.3Attack66.7
28.1Defence33.3
42.7Form33.3
44.0Power45.3
1.94xG2.02
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