Municipal GreciavsAD Carmelita

Municipal Grecia are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while AD Carmelita are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 44.0 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the Liga de Ascenso, while AD Carmelita holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.