Muğlasporvs
Vanspor FK
COMPLETEDTurkey · 1. Lig · 9/6/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Muğlaspor · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-0 (15%), 1-1 (13%), 2-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Muğlaspor 2-2 Vanspor FK
Original prediction
Muğlaspor
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 50.3% | 50.9% | 0.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.9% | 27.0% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 4.19 | 21.8% | 22.1% | 0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.28 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–015%
- 2.1–113%
- 3.2–012%
Predicted outcome
Muğlaspor
Probability
50.9%
Model confidence
50.9%
Muğlaspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
MuğlasporWWDDL
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40
BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Vanspor FKLDWLL
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
MuğlasporVanspor FK
20.0Attack33.3
86.7Defence26.7
53.3Form26.7
55.3Power32.7
1.50xG0.75